Two former Cog Hill champions look good each-way value at 100/1, with ROBERT ALLENBY marginally preferred to Stephen Ames. The latter won here in 2004, and took the eye with a closing 66 in Boston.
Overall though, Allenby’s course record is far superior with four top-11 finishes including a win in 2000. Probably due to the nature of so many of his nation’s championship courses, the Australian is ideally suited by a firm and fast track that places extra emphasis on greens in regulation. Prior to last week’s missed cut, which is easily ignored as he closed with a decent 68, Allenby had looked in good touch, finishing second behind Woods at Firestone and registering top 25s in the Barclays and USPGA.
Finally, a few words about the others who came in for consideration. Open champion Stewart Cink has finished top 7 on his last two Cog Hill outings, and would be a serious factor if returning to the form of a few weeks ago. Geoff Ogilvy, who has a previous fifth on this course and a US Open title to his name, showed strong hints of a return to form in Boston. And another 100/1 outsider, Jerry Kelly, could feature back at a venue where he finished fifth, first and third between 2001 and 2003.
Advised betting for the BMW Championship:
4pts win PADRAIG HARRINGTON @ 14/1 (GENERAL)
2pts ew JIM FURYK @ 25/1 (GENERAL)
1.5pts ew ERNIE ELS @ 33/1 (GENERAL)
1pt ew BRANDT SNEDEKER @ 80/1 (HILLS, LADBROKES)
1pt ew MIKE WEIR @ 80/1 (BETFRED, HILLS)
0.5pt ew ROBERT ALLENBY @ 100/1 (BETFRED, HILLS)
MERCEDES BENZ CHAMPIONSHIP
4pts win LEE WESTWOOD @ 12/1 (BOYLESPORTS, EXPEKT)
4pts win ROSS FISHER @ 12/1 (BOYLESPORTS, EXPEKT, LADBROKES, STAN JAMES)
2.5pts ew MIGUEL-ANGEL JIMENEZ @ 20/1 (BETFRED, PADDY POWER, LADBROKES, HILLS)
2pts ew GRAEME MCDOWELL @ 28/1 (GENERAL)
1pt ew GONZALO FERNANDEZ-CASTANO @ 50/1 (GENERAL)
LONG-TERM ALREADY ADVISED
RACE TO DUBAI
2.5pts ew ROSS FISHER @ 20/1
2.5pts ew PAUL CASEY @ 20/1
6pts win PAUL CASEY @ 8/1
1.5pts ew OLIVER WILSON @ 33/1
2008/2009 STATS: -120pts
2007/2008 STATS: +618pts