Oosthuisen is a very tempting selection after last week’s near-miss. There aren’t many tournaments where -23 isn’t enough, and he must be considered unlucky to have come up against a player putting as well as Rhys Davies did on Sunday. It can only be a matter of time before Louis wins his first European title, and if he can get accustomed to the different greens here quickly, this could well be it.
All the same comments apply to Molinari as they did last week. He’s very consistent, and deserves respect at this level, but has a truly appalling conversion ratio. It was no surprise to see Molinari fail to capitalise on a good start again in Morocco.
Few know this layout better than the course record holder, who won the last event staged here by four shots. That, along with a recent prestigious victory at the Dubai Desert Classic, is bound to make Jimenez a popular pick, but that stellar performance at the Emirates is completely out of line with all the rest of his form this year.
There isn’t much to add about this superstar in the making that I haven’t already made when repeatedly tipping him over the past year. Top-seven finishes on his latest two starts confirm that promise, and he will surely break his duck soon. That is reflected in the price now though, and I just wonder if he’ll be as effective on this shorter course.
Whatever his potential, it would be a huge ask for Davies to win back to back, immediately after breaking his European Tour duck. Nevertheless, his putter is on fire and a repeat performance would probably be unbeatable in this grade.
The defending champion’s last five Spanish results include two wins and two further top fours. That must bring him into the argument, especially as Soren is one of the best putters around. This year has so far been disappointing, but Kjeldsen did close with 66 at Doral last time out.
Noren missed the cut last week, and judging by several recent blog entries, is rather frustrated with his game at the moment. Nevertheless, he is too classy not to hit back sooner or later, and this course should be ideal for his birdie-chasing talents.
Lawrie’s consistent run continued in Morocco, making it three top tens from his last four starts. He has a good record in Spain, and might prefer this shorter layout.
Garrido is always worth a second look on home soil, and warrants strong consideration after Sunday’s third place.
Another of last week’s principal challengers who must come into the argument. However, these greens will be different to the grainy type of Morocco, which may have helped this South African.
This three-time Euro Tour winner returned to some form with seventh last time in Malaysia, and should be ideally suited by a low-scoring affair.
Rock appears to be creeping back into form, after last week’s seventh and a top 20 in Dubai. Available at a tasty 66/1, he made the shortlist before being omitted on the basis of his failure to convert several good previous winning opportunities.
Another top 20 in Morocco, his fourth on the spin, confirms Bjorn is creeping back towards his classy old form.
The strange thing about Castano is his poor home record, only once ever making a top-ten in Spain. Likeable though he is on tough courses, this weak putter is usually one to oppose when birdie accumulation is the order of the day.
Darren missed the cut here in 1999 and is unlikely to enjoy this putting contest, just as he didn’t last week in Morocco.
This talented two-time European Tour winner lives locally and will doubtless attract plenty of crowd support. However, Martin has yet to fire in 2010 following the death of his father.

Where next?

Golf betting: Arnold Palmer Invitational golf betting