(Top tips in capitals)
Previously known as the FUNAI Walt Disney Classic, this longstanding event is now renamed in its new slot as the final and decisive event in the PGA Tour Fall Series. It looks as wide open as ever, with the main interest surrounding the desperate race to finish inside the top-125 on the money list, and therefore retain full playing privileges for 2008.
Played on two easy resort courses at Palm and Magnolia, this has proved a bookies? benefit in recent years with big-priced winners since 2004. Clearly then its not an event to play heavily in. Therefore all of my selections are at least 40/1.
Firstly, I?m giving another chance to one of last week?s failures, CARL PETTERSSON. The big Swede had previously been in top form, as he has been for most of the summer. He?s generally a man to be feared on resort courses where his excellent putting is ideal for racking up low scores, as shown in two top-15 finishes here in 2004 and 2005.
Last week saw a Swedish 1-2 from Chopra and Jacobsen, and along with Pettersson I also like the chances of JESPER PARNEVIK this week. Arguably the most celebrated player ever to emerge from that country to date, Parnevik is ideally suited to this course, three times making the top-10 here since 1998, and often in otherwise terrible years for him. In recent months, he?s looked on the way back, and had made the top-20 three events in a row prior to last week. The only thing that prevented him from breaking a long losing streak in Texas was persistent trouble off the tee. But here, the fairways are so wide that particular problem might just be eliminated.
Promising RYAN MOORE played his best golf for months in his latest event a fortnight ago. In finishing 6th in Arizona, Moore ranked 1st for greens in regulation despite a disappointing weekend. A repetition would make him a very serious contender on a course where he finished a respectable 13th two years ago.
Big-hitting BUBBA WATSON must have a squeak of landing his first win on a course where he can open his shoulders. Watson has made steady progress this season, with five top-10s on the sort of courses you?d expect him to prosper, not to mention a career highlight 5th at the US Open. Two top-20s from his last three starts confirm his general wellbeing, suggesting 80/1 could be a bit of value.
Tom Pernice JNR
Finally, TOM PERNICE JNR could go well now he?s overcome the worry of retaining his card. Pernice would have won this event in 2005 had Lucas Glover not chipped in twice on the run-in. He?s ideally suited to this sort of target golf, and in fair enough form having made the top-30 on his last three starts.