Fowler again starts favourite though this time, I can’t argue with that assessment. Fifth place on his penultimate start in Malaysia, his first ever Asian appearance, was another fine effort and he didn’t play terribly in Shanghai either. Adjusting yet again to different conditions will be tough, however.
Overton deserves a breakthrough win after easily his best season to date, and with three straight top 25s at Disney, must make any shortlist. Questions about his temperament remain after bottling a few chances, but he was more impressive in that respect at the Ryder Cup.
O’Hair represents a touch of class in this company, but might be better suited to a tougher course. He also failed to deliver on a previous Fall Series outing.
This will be the former Open champion’s first start for two months bar the Ryder Cup, where he played well. He has a decent Disney record, registering four top 25s, once as runner-up, and again warrants a place on the shortlist.
I’d been hoping Senden would opt instead to play the Australian Masters, where his relentless accuracy would have been a huge asset. This birdie-fest will be much tougher, although he is in excellent form.
Perez is ideally suited to target golf, made the top 15 at Summerlin last time and also finished 15th here last year. He rarely seems to earn a place payout, though.
BRENDON DE JONGE
Another player who deserves a win for his efforts this season. De Jonge has nine top 20s from his last 15 events, usually recording excellent long game stats.
Champion in 2004 and third the following year, the improved Palmer would have been a pick were it not for a very busy schedule. He will do well to re-adapt after a fortnight in Asia, though did give us a good run for our money when last seen in the US.
In his heyday, Vijay was rarely off a Disney leaderboard. He won this title in 2003, and has registered five top sixes from his last seven visits. Nowadays though, it’s hard to imagine him holing enough putts to win a birdie-fest like this.
Similar comments apply to Love, in each respect. He too was a course specialist, making the top 20 on his last seven visits, including five top fives and winning in 2008. Again though, he just doesn’t hole enough putts nowadays for an event of this nature.
Byrd bids for consecutive victories after winning at Summerlin with a hole-in-one. His last two Disney outings have yielded top 25s.
Durant has found a bit of form during the Fall Series, and has course form credentials in the form of a win in 2006 and fifth place in 2008. He looked rather untrustworthy when in contention recently though.
Another player who has found form just in time to save his card. Simpson was fourth last time at Summerlin, and has the right stats profile in terms of putting and birdies.
Gillis may have the ultimate journeyman profile, but he seems to have significantly improved over the past 18 months, first on the Nationwide Tour and increasingly in strong company. Placed 11th in Malaysia last time was a decent effort, as was fifth at the Deutsche Bank. He tops the birdie stats.
Another journeyman, this time fighting hard to earn his card. Connell has registered three top 15s in the last four Fall Series events, moving him into contention in 129th place.
2010 STATS: +8pts
LONG-TERM ALREADY ADVISED
5pts MARTIN KAYMER TO WIN THE RACE TO DUBAI @ 9/1