With five recent top 15s to his name in better company, and 13th on this course last year, Molder is a worthy favourite in a tournament which doesn’t appear to lend itself towards backing the obvious. Furthermore, Molder has only ever won once before, on the Nationwide Tour in 2006.
Sabbatini is the highest ranked player in this field, and obviously a repetition of his season-opening second place in the SBS Championship would make him a shoe-in here. He’s done nothing of note since though, and has never been reliable enough to consider at short odds.
Stadler rates a serious candidate on the basis of top tens in two of his last three events, plus fourth on this course in 2008. He very nearly made the staking plan, and was only ignored because of skinny 20/1 odds.
After finishing runner-up in Mexico on his penultimate start, Durant made the short-list. His experienced, straight-hitting profile looks perfect, and again the only deterrant is restricted odds of 33/1, which is an ordinary quote given that he’s done absolutely nothing of late besides that effort in Mexico.
A massive contender on recent form, Prugh hasn’t had a bad week in this rookie season. That form is reflected in his price though, and he doesn’t really fit the profile of previously-placed players here.
This Australian won twice on last year’s Nationwide Tour and is in good form after top tens on four of his last six events, usually amongst fields of around the same standard as this.
It would be sickening to miss out on a Collins victory here after he’s twice carried our cash respectably in recent weeks. He finished poorly on Sunday from a decent position though, and was well beaten in this last year.
Obviously the Ryder Cup hero has the class to feature prominently here.
Ogilvie looks a plausible candidate on the basis of two decent efforts over the last fortnight, plus the fact he’s often thrived in these second-division affairs before.
This previously anonymous character has taken the eye with top 20s on three of his last five starts, which to be fair is reflected in shortened odds.
In years gone by, Doral specialist Elkington would have been a candidate for greater things this week, but the former PGA champion remains capable in this class. Top 20s on two of his last three starts suggest he’s just the type of experienced campaigner who could get involved.
Around the turn of the century, Dawson was quite a force on the Nationwide Tour, and after a long bleak spell he’s returned to some form with a couple of recent top-six finishes at that level. Interestingly, he finished sixth here in 2008.
Cejka has claims on the basis that he’s very accurate from tee to green, experienced, finished a respectable 13th last year and registered a top ten at Pebble Beach. He’s blown plenty of winning chances at this level though.
RICHARD S JOHNSON
Johnson has never been particularly consistent, but is capable on his day as a top-ten in last year’s Open illustrated. He also finished fourth in the Mayakoba Classic, and has shown he has the tools to take advantage should a winning opportunity arise.