The defending champion has been in fair form recently, if not quite the same level as this time last year. For that reason, others are preferred.
Vijay had hinted at a return to form before getting injured before the Masters, even if he couldn’t hole a putt. At his peak, he loved Quail Hollow, winning in 2005 and registering four top tens.
Ogilvy has twice made the top ten here, without challenging for the title. He’s yet to recapture early season form following a short break for the birth of his child, but will be a threat to all when finding his range again.
For reasons I can’t explain, Harrington has yet to finish higher than 43rd in this event. There’s certainly no obvious reason why the three-time Major winner wouldn’t like this set-up.
Goosen has been infuriating of late, and almost impossible to predict. His figures are perfectly respectable, without ever looking quite at his best, and for that reason is respected yet avoided.
Who would write off Freddie after those Masters heroics? Inspired by some dominant displays on the Champions Tour, Couples is turning back the clock with his best form for a decade or more. He very much takes the eye at 80/1, on a course where he was eighth on his most recent visit.
Fowler has so far reserved his best form for easier golf courses than this, but as Anthony Kim proved, the very best youngsters can thrive here. There are certainly worse 80/1 bets.
Dufner is another interesting outsider, after finishing a close fifth last year. He strikes me as a likely improver, and returned to form with seventh at the weekend.
Given his struggles over the past couple of months, it would be a huge ask for Rory to win on his course debut. Hopefully he’s been working hard since last seen at the Masters.
Johnson usually warrants consideration, but he’s yet to make a top ten on this course and his form has dipped in recent weeks.
2010 STATS: -29pts
LONG-TERM ALREADY ADVISED
20pts TIGER WOODS TO WIN EXACTLY TWO MAJORS @ 5/1
8pts TIGER WOODS TO WIN EXACTLY THREE MAJORS @ 14/1