Choi has to make the short-list given the demands of this golf course. He has few peers with regard to high-class iron play, and has been relentlessly consistent from tee to green all year, making every cut. KJ’s Colonial record is fair, registering three top 25s but never challenging.
While Ames has been frustrating when we’ve backed him this year, he has been pretty consistent. It would be no surprise to see him contend on a course where he’s never missed the cut in eight tries, and registered three top four finishes.
Gay bounced right back to form with second at Las Colinas, and has ideal conditions at Colonial. He was runner-up here way back in 2001, the best from four top 15 finishes.
Mahan has never made the top 20 in six tries to date at Colonial, confirming the suspicion that this just isn’t his type of track. Hopefully, another failure will make the bookies over-react and push out his odds in the weeks ahead.
Much as I very much remain a fan, Fowler will be up against it on his Colonial debut. He does have the shot-making skills to impress, though.
Marino looks another plausible first-time winner, after six top 20s from his last ten completed starts. Finishing runner-up last year was Marino’s third straight top 25 at Colonial, so clearly he likes the layout.
Colonial seems an unlikely venue for Ogilvy to turn around a poor run, as he’s only made the top 20 once in seven attempts.
Despite failing to find his best form this season, Perry is no forlorn hope to win this title for the third time. There are signs of encouragement, too, following a pair of top 25s.
Yet another ‘first time winner in waiting’, having twice finished runner-up in his last four events. Last year’s excellent debut, finishing 13th after four sub-par rounds, suggests Overton could be one to watch on this course over the years ahead.
BO VAN PELT
Few can boast better form credentials than Van Pelt, who registered consecutive top fives at Harbour Town, Quail Hollow and Sawgrass. Interestingly, he made the top five on his Colonial debut back in 2004, the first of three top 20s.
2010 STATS: -30pts