Similar arguments apply to Francesco Molinari and Soren Hansen. With the emphasis on greens in regulation and birdie conversion, Molinari must have a great chance of winning a long overdue second title. His last two events have resulted in top-3 finishes, but one can’t help but feel that near-misses, (especially after holding little chance going into the final day), are his forte. Except perhaps in Italy next month, I can’t consider 20/1 about him. As for Hansen, two wins this century tells its own story.
Low scoring should suit Alvaro Quiros and Charl Schwartzel, though I’m not sure the emphasis on driving accuracy will. Both are certainly classy enough to win, and Quiros has particularly impressed with his temperament to date. Rather than focus on these favourites, I’m keeping stakes low here, with all of my selections starting at 40/1 or more. Therefore, just one top-5 finish would cover the total outlay.
After grabbing a share of 4th for us last week, I’m sticking with RAFAEL CABRERA-BELLO back on home turf. So far, I’ve seen nothing to contradict my opinion that this Challenge Tour graduate is ready to win his maiden title at the higher level. When it comes, I reckon it will be on a course where long game consistency is rewarded, and where there are plenty of birdies on offer. This looks perfect.
There could be a slight advantage to those who came through Q-School on this course last year. The two most notable candidates on this score are DANNY WILLETT and Carlos Del Moral. The latter doesn’t enjoy anywhere near Willett’s big reputation, but has shown some encouraging stuff with a series of recent top-20s. Nevertheless at 40/1 compared to 66/1, the Sheffield youngster looks much better value. Sunday’s 8th place in Korea was a fine advertisement of his long game brilliance, again leaving the impression that once Willett has gained more experience, he will become world-class.